Sunday, July 1, 2012

Will You Make More Money In Diablo 3 Than In WoW ?

Give Diablo 3 a little time and it will probably be making more money than WoW.Diablo 3 is alive now, and more and more players are wondering will Diablo 3 make more money that WOW. As you have already read recently, I believe that Diablo will beat WOW in yearly revenue thanks to the RMAH. Following is some players’ opinion on this topic. Will You Make More Money In Diablo 3 Than In WoW ?

"There is a ton of anticipation for the Real-Money Auction House. Players are gearing up and getting ready for the release of Diablo 3 and intend to hit the Diablo 3 economy with full force. Their main goal: make money. Do I think that Diablo 3 players will make more ‘money’ in Diablo 3 than they did in World of Warcraft? Nope, and here is why..."

"I scanned the web for data available on World of Warcraft and found Activision Blizzard’s financial reports. While looking through them, I realized that to get anything I’d be able to measure against, I’d have to boil it down to the smallest relevant number..."

"The question he poses is a bit too general to answer with precision. I mean, I have no doubt that Diablo 3 will make more money than WOW. The question is what kind of money and for whom?"

"There’s no evidence yet on how much can Diablo 3 makes money, but considering the amount of people that is going to play and the fee structure revealed by blizzard earlier this year, I think I can affirm that Diablo 3 Will make more money than World of Warcraft."

Stabbs, hasn't had the chance to get his post up (don't blame him with the crazy holiday season, so I decided to break tradition and publish it inside the carnival. Get it in if you can next time Stabbs, and thanks for a great post with all of your numbers backing it up.

"Hmm, I doubt it will make more money. Like many others I subbed to WOW for years so I not only bought the box but paid the monthly sub month after month.

Now an intensive RMAH user may spend more than $15 per month on AH fees but an average user? It may be closer to zero what with the handful of free auctions you get. Plus there's a fairly clear workaround where if you don't want to spend real cash you can sell your stuff for gold then sell the gold. (It's a fallacy of course, based on valuing fee avoidance over total income but nevertheless might be a popular one).

Also WOW had a unique aspect in that the MMO genre was fairly new and no one has even come close to it. It's not just the most successful sub-based Western MMO, it's the most successful by a factor of 24. 12 million players against 500k in second place. For D3 to match that it would have to annihilate the competition and continue to do so for years.

Here's my prediction. Diablo 3 will be the top action RPG for several years. It will sell 30 million copies at an average of $50 each. It will make about as much on the RMAH as it does on box sales. It will make twice as much from selling expansions as it does from selling the original box. So what’s your idea on this topic then?

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